SFPE WEBINAR: California’s October 2017 Wildfires: What Happened, and Can We Map Areas
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California’s October 2017 Wildfires: What Happened, and Can We Map Areas Where It Could Happen Again? Presented by Chris Lautenberger, PhD, PE, Principal Engineer, Reax Engineering Inc. SFPE MEMBER FEE: FREE NON-MEMBERS FEE: $29

5/13/2019
When: Monday, May 13, 2019
11:00 AM
Where: Virtual
United States


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SFPE MEMBER FEE: FREE

NON-MEMBERS FEE: $29


California’s October 2017 Wildfires: What Happened, and Can We Map Areas Where It Could Happen Again?

Presented by Chris Lautenberger, PhD, PE, Principal Engineer, Reax Engineering Inc.

In 2017, wildland and wildland-urban interface (WUI) fires burned around 10,000 structures in California. This presentation will provide an overview of California’s October 2017 fires and discuss contributing factors such as land use/development, fuels, weather, and topography. A methodology to map areas where similarly damaging fires may occur in the future using Monte Carlo Simulation will be reviewed. This methodology uses high-resolution numerical weather prediction and wildland fire modeling to simulate the spread of millions of hypothetical fires under historical wind/weather conditions and quantify impacts to structures. Very good correlation between areas identified as high risk and historical occurrence of damaging fires is observed, indicating that the methodology is capable of identifying areas where damaging fires may occur in the future.

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